Global productivity climbs. People produce more with less effort. Yet purpose slips away. Societies built on the idea that growth brings fulfillment now face a reckoning. This story probes what happens when that core belief crumbles. Data shows the divide. History offers warnings. Future paths demand bold shifts.
Productivity on the Rise
Labor productivity grows worldwide. From 2020 to 2025, global rates rebounded after pandemic dips. In 2024, growth hit 1.5 percent, up from near zero in 2022 and 2023. OECD data for 2024 shows average growth at 0.4 percent, with some regions higher. In the US, nonfarm business sector productivity rose 2.4 percent in Q2 2025. AI and automation drive this. Workers output more per hour. Economies expand.
But gains uneven. In Sub-Saharan Africa, hourly productivity sits at 4 euros, versus 55-60 euros in the US or Europe. Inequality widens. Top earners capture most benefits. In New York, wages grew 8 percent in Q1 2025, but nationally only 4.8 percent. The productivity-pay gap persists. Since 1979, US productivity rose 62 percent, but hourly pay only 18 percent for typical workers. Automation shifts rents to owners, not laborers. People work harder for less share.
This disconnect breeds doubt. Growth once meant better lives. Now it signals exclusion. In Kenya, tech hubs boom in Nairobi. Yet rural farmers see little gain. Global trends mirror this. Productivity surges, but shared purpose fades.
The Quiet Collapse of Meaning
Happiness stalls or drops. The 2025 World Happiness Report ranks Finland top, but global averages dip. US hits lowest ranking ever. In 30 countries surveyed by Ipsos, India leads at 88 percent happy, but Hungary lags. Kindness acts rose 10 percent post-pandemic, yet overall well-being slips.
Mental health crises spike. Over one billion people live with disorders in 2025. One in seven globally. In the US, 8.9 percent of adults faced a crisis in the past year, highest among 18-29 year-olds at 15.1 percent. Worldwide, 970 million have conditions like anxiety. Gen Z perceives mental health poorly.
Work loses meaning. Burnout rises as jobs automate. People question endless growth. In Africa, youth unemployment fuels unrest. Progress promised jobs and dignity. Delivery falls short. Surveys show life in 2025 feels worse than 1975 for many. Purpose erodes when output detaches from fulfillment.
Echoes from Fallen Empires
History repeats. Civilizations collapse when core myths fail. The Bronze Age ended in 1177 BCE. Empires vanished amid invasions, famine, and strife. Societies lost complexity. The Maya fell to drought and degradation. Population dropped, cities emptied.
Rome’s decline stemmed from inequality and overextension. Progress myth – expansion equals strength – crumbled. Internal divisions grew. The Ottoman abandonment of valleys tied to climate, not full empire fall. Yet patterns show: when growth ignores equity, systems fracture.
In 12 case studies, seven societies transformed severely under stress. Outcomes unpredictable. Collapse means loss of capacity for basic needs. Not extinction, but reduced complexity. Post-Roman people grew taller, healthier. Collapse redistributes power.
Kenya’s history echoes this. Colonial progress masked exploitation. Independence reset narratives. Today, global myths face similar tests.
Cracks in the Modern Facade
Inequality fuels the void. Global gender gap closed 68.8 percent in 2025. Wage inequality drops in two-thirds of countries since 2000. But disconnect grows. Productivity rises, wages lag for most.
Climate adds pressure. A 1970s report warned of collapse from growth. Now, signs emerge. Societies risk self-termination without inequality fixes. Eco-collapse looms.
Youth suffer most. In the US, happiness drops for under-30s. Globally, mental health support gaps persist. Over 80 percent of countries include it in emergencies, up from 40 percent in 2020. But scale-up lags.
In Kenya, entrepreneurs innovate amid this. Tech startups push boundaries. Yet systemic issues – corruption, debt – erode trust. Progress feels hollow.
Rethinking the Path Ahead
Scenarios vary. Total collapse unlikely soon. But partial breakdowns possible. Humanity adapts or perishes. Degrowth offers resets. Focus on sustainability over endless output.
Build resilient communities. Prioritize equity. Redefine progress around well-being. Data shows kindness correlates with happiness. Invest in mental health. Scale services urgently.
In Africa, local solutions shine. Cooperatives share gains. Education fosters purpose. Global policies must follow. Tackle automation’s rents. Tax wealth fairly.
Collapse isn’t fate. It’s a choice point. Societies evolve through crisis. History proves it.
Facing the Void Together
Progress without purpose leads to fragility. Data confirms the surge and the slump. History warns of pitfalls. We stand at a juncture. Choose renewal. Build systems that value people over output. In Kenya and beyond, genius emerges from raw truth. Act now. The myth evolves or dies.